No. 323· NEC

New Haven

Record 14-17Tempo 64.3Off 97.8Def 111.4

Adj. Efficiency Margin-13.55

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#323

-13.55

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#348

97.8

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#224

111.4

Adjusted Tempo

#359

64.3

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#282

39.8

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#306

48.4%

TOV%

#292

18.4%

ORB%

#360

21.9%

FTR

#312

29.9%

🔮 Crystal Ball

1 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

7% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 97.8, D: 111.4

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-13.5

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:45.2%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #348, Def: #224

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

FAIL

Value:30.2%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -1.12

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:39.8

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-5.1%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-2.3%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-5.5%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:-0.86

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-13.1

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:70.2%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)