No. 74· MWC

Nevada

Record 24-13Tempo 67.5Off 115.2Def 104.5

Adj. Efficiency Margin+10.66

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#74

10.66

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#77

115.2

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#76

104.5

Adjusted Tempo

#244

67.5

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#94

57.9

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#202

50.8%

TOV%

#27

14.2%

ORB%

#81

33.6%

FTR

44.3%

🔮 Crystal Ball

5 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

33% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 115.2, D: 104.5

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:10.7

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:64.9%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #77, Def: #76

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:35.8%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.87

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:57.9

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:1.0%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:3.2%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:7.2%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:6.45

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-1.8

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:75.7%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)