No. 36· ACC

NC State

Record 20-14Tempo 70.1Off 121.9Def 104.8

Adj. Efficiency Margin+17.09

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#36

17.09

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#26

121.9

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#79

104.8

Adjusted Tempo

#93

70.1

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#65

62.3

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#27

56.8%

TOV%

13.0%

ORB%

#189

30.4%

FTR

#113

37.5%

🔮 Crystal Ball

5 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

33% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 121.9, D: 104.8

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:17.1

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:58.8%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #26, Def: #79

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:38.8%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 1.40

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:62.3

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:6.1%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:7.0%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:2.7%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:2.17

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-0.2

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:76.8%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)