No. 121· MVC

Murray St.

Record 20-13Tempo 71.8Off 116.2Def 112.3

Adj. Efficiency Margin+3.96

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#121

3.96

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#70

116.2

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#246

112.3

Adjusted Tempo

#24

71.8

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#116

55.7

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#83

54.0%

TOV%

#110

15.8%

ORB%

#121

32.1%

FTR

#58

39.7%

🔮 Crystal Ball

3 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

20% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 116.2, D: 112.3

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:4.0

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:60.6%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #70, Def: #246

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:34.9%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.32

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:55.7

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:2.7%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:0.1%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:0.2%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:6.33

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-5.1

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:75.4%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)