No. 260· MAAC

Mount St. Mary's

Record 15-17Tempo 68.5Off 100.7Def 107.8

Adj. Efficiency Margin-7.08

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#260

-7.08

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#326

100.7

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#143

107.8

Adjusted Tempo

#184

68.5

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#219

47.4

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#229

50.2%

TOV%

#364

22.6%

ORB%

#186

30.5%

FTR

#223

33.5%

🔮 Crystal Ball

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National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

7% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 100.7, D: 107.8

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-7.1

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:46.9%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #326, Def: #143

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:32.7%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.59

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:47.4

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:0.9%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-7.6%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:1.0%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-5.96

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-12.3

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:67.4%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)