No. 276· OVC

Morehead St.

Record 20-13Tempo 66.5Off 108.2Def 116.7

Adj. Efficiency Margin-8.56

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#276

-8.56

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#197

108.2

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#320

116.7

Adjusted Tempo

#300

66.5

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#246

44.7

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#274

49.0%

TOV%

#240

17.6%

ORB%

#67

34.3%

FTR

#167

35.6%

🔮 Crystal Ball

2 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

13% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 108.2, D: 116.7

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-8.6

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:60.6%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #197, Def: #320

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

FAIL

Value:32.0%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.71

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:44.7

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-3.3%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-2.5%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-1.0%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:-0.40

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-8.6

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:74.1%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)