No. 133· BSky

Montana St.

Record 18-14Tempo 67.2Off 111.1Def 108.9

Adj. Efficiency Margin+2.27

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#133

2.27

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#137

111.1

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#169

108.9

Adjusted Tempo

#261

67.2

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#113

55.9

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#108

53.2%

TOV%

#104

15.7%

ORB%

#259

28.0%

FTR

#329

29.4%

🔮 Crystal Ball

3 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

20% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 111.1, D: 108.9

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:2.3

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:56.3%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #137, Def: #169

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:36.1%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.18

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:55.9

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:2.3%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:0.1%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-1.1%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:0.41

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-8.8

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:74.0%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)