No. 202· CUSA

Missouri St.

Record 15-19Tempo 67.0Off 110.0Def 112.2

Adj. Efficiency Margin-2.24

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#202

-2.24

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#161

110.0

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#245

112.2

Adjusted Tempo

#273

67.0

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#206

48.9

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#190

51.1%

TOV%

#186

16.8%

ORB%

#118

32.4%

FTR

#51

40.0%

🔮 Crystal Ball

2 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

13% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 110.0, D: 112.2

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-2.2

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:44.1%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #161, Def: #245

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

FAIL

Value:32.4%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.19

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:48.9

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-1.8%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:0.0%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:1.7%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:-0.72

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-13.7

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:67.5%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)