No. 57· SEC

Missouri

Record 20-13Tempo 67.7Off 117.3Def 105.0

Adj. Efficiency Margin+12.35

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#57

12.35

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#59

117.3

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#83

105.0

Adjusted Tempo

#232

67.7

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#79

60.3

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#33

56.6%

TOV%

#271

18.0%

ORB%

#39

35.5%

FTR

#12

43.4%

🔮 Crystal Ball

3 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

20% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 117.3, D: 105.0

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:12.3

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:60.6%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #59, Def: #83

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:35.0%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 1.01

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:60.3

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:6.8%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-0.1%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:6.3%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:10.41

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:0.3

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:69.1%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)

🥿

Cinderella Index

Upset-potential score based on strength, defense, possession, variance & resume.

Elite Cinderella Threat

AdjEM-to-seed is 5 spots better than seed — correctly or overseeded.

Underseeded (28%)60

Defense (27%)75

Possession (21%)59

Variance (14%)52

Resume (10%)86

View full Cinderella Index →