No. 365· SWAC

Mississippi Valley St.

Record 3-30Tempo 68.5Off 90.8Def 122.2

Adj. Efficiency Margin-31.41

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#365

-31.41

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#364

90.8

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#360

122.2

Adjusted Tempo

#187

68.5

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#365

8.7

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#361

44.7%

TOV%

#358

21.2%

ORB%

#338

25.0%

FTR

#259

31.9%

🔮 Crystal Ball

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National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

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*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 90.8, D: 122.2

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-31.4

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:9.1%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #364, Def: #360

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

FAIL

Value:29.5%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -2.59

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:8.7

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-12.2%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-4.6%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-11.8%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-17.37

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-25.6

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:71.6%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)