No. 113· SEC

Mississippi St.

Record 13-19Tempo 71.1Off 111.6Def 106.9

Adj. Efficiency Margin+4.66

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#113

4.66

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#128

111.6

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#127

106.9

Adjusted Tempo

#36

71.1

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#236

45.2

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#91

53.8%

TOV%

#97

15.5%

ORB%

#163

31.1%

FTR

#279

31.3%

🔮 Crystal Ball

2 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

13% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 111.6, D: 106.9

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:4.7

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:40.6%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #128, Def: #127

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

FAIL

Value:32.4%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.38

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:45.2

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:5.4%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-1.5%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:3.8%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:0.77

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-5.5

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:66.0%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)