No. 176· CUSA

Middle Tennessee

Record 17-15Tempo 68.2Off 109.5Def 109.5

Adj. Efficiency Margin+0.03

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#176

0.03

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#168

109.5

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#182

109.5

Adjusted Tempo

#209

68.2

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#199

49.4

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#135

52.4%

TOV%

#171

16.6%

ORB%

#173

30.8%

FTR

#284

31.0%

🔮 Crystal Ball

2 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

13% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 109.5, D: 109.5

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:0.0

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:53.1%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #168, Def: #182

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:33.8%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.00

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:49.4

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:1.3%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-1.0%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:4.7%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-5.52

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-8.6

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:70.2%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)