No. 11· B10

Michigan St.

Record 27-8Tempo 67.4Off 122.4Def 97.1

Adj. Efficiency Margin+25.25

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#11

25.25

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#23

122.4

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#15

97.1

Adjusted Tempo

#247

67.4

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#25

71.1

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#40

56.0%

TOV%

#182

16.7%

ORB%

39.7%

FTR

#37

40.7%

🔮 Crystal Ball

11 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

73% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

PASS

Value:Inside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

PASS

Value:O: 122.4, D: 97.1

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:25.2

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

PASS

Value:77.1%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #23, Def: #15

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:36.3%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

PASS

Value:Z: 2.08

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

PASS

Value:#9

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:71.1

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

PASS

Value:9.8%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-0.1%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:18.6%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:11.83

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

PASS

Value:7.5

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:76.4%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)