No. 79· MAC

Miami (OH)

Record 32-2Tempo 70.9Off 117.8Def 108.7

Adj. Efficiency Margin+9.08

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#79

9.08

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#53

117.8

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#167

108.7

Adjusted Tempo

#44

70.9

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#21

72.0

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#22

57.0%

TOV%

#50

14.8%

ORB%

#335

25.2%

FTR

#122

37.3%

🔮 Crystal Ball

5 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

33% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 117.8, D: 108.7

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:9.1

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

PASS

Value:94.1%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #53, Def: #167

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:37.1%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.74

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:72.0

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:5.7%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:2.3%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-3.9%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:7.17

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:2.9

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:74.9%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)

🥿

Cinderella Index

Upset-potential score based on strength, defense, possession, variance & resume.

Notable Upset Risk

AdjEM-to-seed is 5 spots better than seed — correctly or overseeded.

Underseeded (28%)56

Defense (27%)55

Possession (21%)57

Variance (14%)65

Resume (10%)67

View full Cinderella Index →