No. 164· MAAC

Merrimack

Record 23-11Tempo 65.2Off 107.3Def 106.5

Adj. Efficiency Margin+0.75

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#164

0.75

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#213

107.3

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#112

106.5

Adjusted Tempo

#343

65.2

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#141

54.0

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#273

49.0%

TOV%

#96

15.5%

ORB%

#344

24.6%

FTR

#87

38.5%

🔮 Crystal Ball

4 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

27% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 107.3, D: 106.5

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:0.8

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:67.6%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #213, Def: #112

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:32.7%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.06

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:54.0

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:0.4%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:3.9%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-15.0%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:-0.01

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-5.9

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:78.8%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)