No. 186· SC

Mercer

Record 19-13Tempo 69.3Off 112.1Def 113.4

Adj. Efficiency Margin-1.28

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#186

-1.28

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#114

112.1

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#271

113.4

Adjusted Tempo

#130

69.3

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#98

57.3

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#161

51.7%

TOV%

#153

16.4%

ORB%

#109

32.5%

FTR

#48

40.2%

🔮 Crystal Ball

4 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

27% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 112.1, D: 113.4

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-1.3

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:59.4%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #114, Def: #271

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:35.6%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.11

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:57.3

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-1.5%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:1.1%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-0.9%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:10.37

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-8.5

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:73.0%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)