No. 188· MAC

Massachusetts

Record 17-16Tempo 72.2Off 109.6Def 110.9

Adj. Efficiency Margin-1.30

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#188

-1.30

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#166

109.6

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#215

110.9

Adjusted Tempo

#20

72.2

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#152

53.2

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#127

52.7%

TOV%

#299

18.5%

ORB%

#119

32.4%

FTR

#103

38.0%

🔮 Crystal Ball

2 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

13% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 109.6, D: 110.9

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-1.3

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:51.5%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #166, Def: #215

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:35.2%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.11

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:53.2

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-0.2%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-1.7%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:4.7%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-7.53

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-11.1

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:67.3%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)