No. 16· ACC

Louisville

Record 24-11Tempo 70.1Off 122.6Def 99.4

Adj. Efficiency Margin+23.17

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#16

23.17

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#21

122.6

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#23

99.4

Adjusted Tempo

#88

70.1

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#22

71.8

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

59.0%

TOV%

#141

16.3%

ORB%

#60

34.5%

FTR

#187

34.8%

🔮 Crystal Ball

9 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

60% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

PASS

Value:O: 122.6, D: 99.4

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:23.2

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:68.6%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #21, Def: #23

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:36.0%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

PASS

Value:Z: 1.90

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

PASS

Value:#11

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:71.8

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

PASS

Value:12.3%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:1.4%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:9.4%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:3.33

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:3.8

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:76.1%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)