No. 305· OVC

Little Rock

Record 12-20Tempo 67.4Off 103.1Def 114.3

Adj. Efficiency Margin-11.20

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#305

-11.20

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#297

103.1

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#288

114.3

Adjusted Tempo

#249

67.4

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#273

40.6

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#257

49.5%

TOV%

#272

18.0%

ORB%

#187

30.5%

FTR

#353

27.1%

🔮 Crystal Ball

1 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

7% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 103.1, D: 114.3

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-11.2

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:37.5%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #297, Def: #288

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:35.3%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.93

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:40.6

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-5.0%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-0.5%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-4.9%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-6.31

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-16.0

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:68.0%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)