No. 279· Pat

Lehigh

Record 18-17Tempo 69.3Off 103.2Def 112.2

Adj. Efficiency Margin-8.99

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#279

-8.99

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#295

103.2

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#243

112.2

Adjusted Tempo

#131

69.3

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#225

46.5

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#184

51.3%

TOV%

#291

18.4%

ORB%

#350

23.3%

FTR

#290

30.8%

🔮 Crystal Ball

2 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

13% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 103.2, D: 112.2

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-9.0

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:51.4%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #295, Def: #243

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:36.1%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.75

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:46.5

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-0.3%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-2.6%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-9.8%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-4.62

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-12.7

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:72.6%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)

🥿

Cinderella Index

Upset-potential score based on strength, defense, possession, variance & resume.

Moderate Risk

Seeded exactly where AdjEM expects.

Underseeded (28%)41

Defense (27%)38

Possession (21%)21

Variance (14%)52

Resume (10%)23

View full Cinderella Index →