No. 135· CUSA

Kennesaw St.

Record 21-14Tempo 71.2Off 112.1Def 109.8

Adj. Efficiency Margin+2.24

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#135

2.24

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#116

112.1

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#190

109.8

Adjusted Tempo

#33

71.2

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#107

56.5

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#191

51.1%

TOV%

#203

16.9%

ORB%

#53

34.9%

FTR

#31

41.1%

🔮 Crystal Ball

2 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

13% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 112.1, D: 109.8

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:2.2

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:60.0%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #116, Def: #190

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:33.4%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.18

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:56.5

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:1.7%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-0.5%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:5.3%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-7.05

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-7.8

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:70.1%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)

🥿

Cinderella Index

Upset-potential score based on strength, defense, possession, variance & resume.

Notable Upset Risk

AdjEM-to-seed is 2 spots better than seed — correctly or overseeded.

Underseeded (28%)55

Defense (27%)55

Possession (21%)55

Variance (14%)44

Resume (10%)56

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