No. 208· SB

James Madison

Record 18-15Tempo 67.5Off 109.6Def 112.1

Adj. Efficiency Margin-2.50

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#208

-2.50

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#165

109.6

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#241

112.1

Adjusted Tempo

#242

67.5

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#174

51.6

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#123

52.8%

TOV%

#231

17.4%

ORB%

#224

29.3%

FTR

#195

34.6%

🔮 Crystal Ball

1 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

7% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 109.6, D: 112.1

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-2.5

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:54.5%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #165, Def: #241

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:35.4%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.21

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:51.6

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:2.4%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-4.6%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-0.1%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-6.04

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-10.2

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:70.3%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)