No. 209· CUSA

Jacksonville St.

Record 15-17Tempo 66.4Off 106.1Def 108.6

Adj. Efficiency Margin-2.51

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#209

-2.51

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#236

106.1

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#163

108.6

Adjusted Tempo

#303

66.4

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#165

52.2

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#237

50.0%

TOV%

#209

17.1%

ORB%

#208

29.8%

FTR

#46

40.5%

🔮 Crystal Ball

3 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

20% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 106.1, D: 108.6

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-2.5

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:46.9%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #236, Def: #163

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:35.7%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.21

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:52.2

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-0.7%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-0.5%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:1.8%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:0.69

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-12.6

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:68.4%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)