No. 21· B10

Iowa

Record 24-13Tempo 63.4Off 123.4Def 102.1

Adj. Efficiency Margin+21.25

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#21

21.25

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#15

123.4

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#44

102.1

Adjusted Tempo

#365

63.4

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#35

68.0

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#12

58.4%

TOV%

#62

14.9%

ORB%

#98

32.9%

FTR

#96

38.3%

🔮 Crystal Ball

7 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

47% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 123.4, D: 102.1

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:21.2

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:64.9%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

PASS

Value:Off: #15, Def: #44

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:35.6%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 1.75

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:68.0

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

PASS

Value:7.9%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:6.7%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:6.3%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:1.10

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:3.3

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:76.9%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)

🥿

Cinderella Index

Upset-potential score based on strength, defense, possession, variance & resume.

Elite Cinderella Threat

⚠ Seeded 3 spots worse than AdjEM suggests — underseeded!

Underseeded (28%)96

Defense (27%)83

Possession (21%)86

Variance (14%)81

Resume (10%)91

View full Cinderella Index →