No. 90· MVC

Illinois St.

Record 23-13Tempo 67.3Off 110.1Def 102.3

Adj. Efficiency Margin+7.73

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#90

7.73

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#158

110.1

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#45

102.3

Adjusted Tempo

#259

67.3

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#85

59.5

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#76

54.1%

TOV%

#172

16.6%

ORB%

#268

27.7%

FTR

#237

32.9%

🔮 Crystal Ball

2 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

13% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 110.1, D: 102.3

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:7.7

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:63.9%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #158, Def: #45

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:34.9%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.63

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:59.5

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:5.0%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-0.0%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:1.3%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:0.11

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-5.1

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:71.2%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)