No. 99· MVC

Illinois Chicago

Record 19-16Tempo 68.0Off 110.7Def 104.9

Adj. Efficiency Margin+5.82

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#99

5.82

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#145

110.7

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#82

104.9

Adjusted Tempo

#213

68.0

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#104

56.9

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#219

50.6%

TOV%

#267

18.0%

ORB%

#32

36.0%

FTR

#118

37.4%

🔮 Crystal Ball

4 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

27% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 110.7, D: 104.9

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:5.8

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:54.3%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #145, Def: #82

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

FAIL

Value:31.6%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.48

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:56.9

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:0.8%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:2.1%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:1.7%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:4.18

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-8.6

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:72.6%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)