No. 157· BSky

Idaho

Record 21-15Tempo 69.0Off 107.7Def 106.5

Adj. Efficiency Margin+1.15

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#157

1.15

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#180

107.7

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#139

106.5

Adjusted Tempo

#201

69.0

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#126

55.1

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#222

50.4%

TOV%

#106

15.9%

ORB%

#227

28.8%

FTR

#213

33.9%

🔮 Crystal Ball

3 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

20% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 107.7, D: 106.5

Need:(O ≥ 120.6 & D ≤ 100.7) or EM ≥ 30.2

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:1.2

Need:≥ 30.2

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:58.3%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #180, Def: #139

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:34.1%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.09

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:55.1

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:0.8%

Need:≥ 7.3%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-1.0%

Need:≥ 0.2%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:3.7%

Need:≥ 0.9%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-6.49

Need:≥ -4.58

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-9.6

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:72.6%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)

🥿

Cinderella Index

Upset-potential score based on strength, defense, possession, variance & resume.

Notable Upset Risk

AdjEM-to-seed is 1 spot better than seed — correctly or overseeded.

Underseeded (28%)55

Defense (27%)57

Possession (21%)44

Variance (14%)71

Resume (10%)44

View full Cinderella Index →