No. 159· MEAC

Howard

Record 24-11Tempo 69.6Off 107.7Def 106.6

Adj. Efficiency Margin+1.07

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#159

1.07

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#207

107.7

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#117

106.6

Adjusted Tempo

#121

69.6

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#61

62.8

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#255

49.5%

TOV%

#336

19.5%

ORB%

#77

33.7%

FTR

#61

39.7%

🔮 Crystal Ball

4 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

27% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 107.7, D: 106.6

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:1.1

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:68.6%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #207, Def: #117

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:35.8%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.08

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:62.8

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-1.5%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-1.3%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:2.4%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:1.78

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-6.7

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:74.0%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)

🥿

Cinderella Index

Upset-potential score based on strength, defense, possession, variance & resume.

Notable Upset Risk

Seeded exactly where AdjEM expects.

Underseeded (28%)64

Defense (27%)67

Possession (21%)50

Variance (14%)41

Resume (10%)39

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