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High Point
No. 68· BSth

High Point

Record 31-5Tempo 70.7Off 117.7Def 106.7
Adj. Efficiency Margin+11.01
Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin
#68
11.01
Adjusted Offensive Efficiency
#54
117.7
Adjusted Defensive Efficiency
#122
106.7
Adjusted Tempo
#51
70.7

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)
#10
76.0

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%
#101
53.3%
TOV%
#18
13.8%
ORB%
#162
31.1%
FTR
#56
39.7%

🔮 Crystal Ball

5 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

33% complete
*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL
Value:Outside
Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL
Value:O: 117.7, D: 106.7
Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL
Value:11.0
Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

PASS
Value:86.1%
Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL
Value:Off: #54, Def: #122
Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS
Value:34.2%
Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL
Value:Z: 0.90
Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A
Value:N/A
Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL
Value:76.0
Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL
Value:1.0%
Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS
Value:6.4%
Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL
Value:0.2%
Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS
Value:4.85
Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL
Value:-0.5
Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS
Value:74.3%
Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)
🥿

Cinderella Index

Upset-potential score based on strength, defense, possession, variance & resume.

65
Notable Upset Risk
AdjEM-to-seed is 4 spots better than seed — correctly or overseeded.
Underseeded (28%)60
Defense (27%)64
Possession (21%)85
Variance (14%)52
Resume (10%)58
View full Cinderella Index →