No. 104· BW

Hawaii

Record 24-9Tempo 71.6Off 106.6Def 101.4

Adj. Efficiency Margin+5.23

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#104

5.23

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#206

106.6

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#46

101.4

Adjusted Tempo

#50

71.6

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#49

64.6

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#186

51.2%

TOV%

#281

18.5%

ORB%

#169

30.6%

FTR

#43

40.7%

🔮 Crystal Ball

3 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

20% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 106.6, D: 101.4

Need:(O ≥ 120.6 & D ≤ 100.7) or EM ≥ 30.2

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:5.2

Need:≥ 30.2

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:72.7%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #206, Def: #46

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

FAIL

Value:31.7%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.43

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:64.6

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:3.4%

Need:≥ 7.3%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-2.1%

Need:≥ 0.2%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:3.9%

Need:≥ 0.9%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:5.12

Need:≥ -4.58

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-4.4

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:73.5%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)

🥿

Cinderella Index

Upset-potential score based on strength, defense, possession, variance & resume.

Notable Upset Risk

AdjEM-to-seed is 3 spots better than seed — correctly or overseeded.

Underseeded (28%)56

Defense (27%)80

Possession (21%)38

Variance (14%)33

Resume (10%)59

View full Cinderella Index →