No. 143· Ivy

Harvard

Record 17-12Tempo 64.9Off 107.1Def 105.1

Adj. Efficiency Margin+1.94

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#143

1.94

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#217

107.1

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#89

105.1

Adjusted Tempo

#351

64.9

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#127

55.0

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#128

52.6%

TOV%

#310

18.7%

ORB%

#282

27.4%

FTR

#357

26.8%

🔮 Crystal Ball

3 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

20% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 107.1, D: 105.1

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:1.9

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:58.6%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #217, Def: #89

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:34.7%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.16

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:55.0

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:2.2%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-2.5%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-1.4%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:-1.39

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-7.3

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:80.8%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)