No. 298· SWAC

Grambling St.

Record 14-19Tempo 68.3Off 97.8Def 108.3

Adj. Efficiency Margin-10.51

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#298

-10.51

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#349

97.8

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#154

108.3

Adjusted Tempo

#198

68.3

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#228

46.0

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#319

47.7%

TOV%

#355

20.8%

ORB%

#249

28.4%

FTR

#158

36.1%

🔮 Crystal Ball

2 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

13% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 97.8, D: 108.3

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-10.5

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:42.4%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #349, Def: #154

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

FAIL

Value:32.3%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.87

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:46.0

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-5.1%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-1.4%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-5.5%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:-2.82

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-15.4

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:72.9%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)