No. 237· ASun

Florida Gulf Coast

Record 16-18Tempo 68.7Off 106.8Def 112.2

Adj. Efficiency Margin-5.43

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#237

-5.43

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#221

106.8

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#244

112.2

Adjusted Tempo

#171

68.7

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#208

48.7

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#216

50.6%

TOV%

#177

16.7%

ORB%

#188

30.4%

FTR

#332

29.2%

🔮 Crystal Ball

2 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

13% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 106.8, D: 112.2

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-5.4

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:47.1%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #221, Def: #244

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:33.2%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.45

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:48.7

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-2.7%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-0.1%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:1.0%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-10.58

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-13.2

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:72.1%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)