No. 232· MAAC

Fairfield

Record 21-13Tempo 67.7Off 107.6Def 112.5

Adj. Efficiency Margin-4.92

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#232

-4.92

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#208

107.6

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#254

112.5

Adjusted Tempo

#233

67.7

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#154

53.2

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#310

48.3%

TOV%

#123

16.0%

ORB%

#80

33.7%

FTR

#347

28.0%

🔮 Crystal Ball

2 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

13% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 107.6, D: 112.5

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-4.9

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:61.8%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #208, Def: #254

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:33.2%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.41

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:53.2

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-5.4%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:0.1%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:3.5%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-4.47

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-9.3

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:70.5%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)