No. 254· Amer

East Carolina

Record 11-20Tempo 70.0Off 104.4Def 110.9

Adj. Efficiency Margin-6.51

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#254

-6.51

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#276

104.4

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#216

110.9

Adjusted Tempo

#97

70.0

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#294

39.1

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#335

47.1%

TOV%

#242

17.6%

ORB%

#70

34.0%

FTR

#53

39.9%

🔮 Crystal Ball

2 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

13% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 104.4, D: 110.9

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-6.5

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:35.5%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #276, Def: #216

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

FAIL

Value:29.3%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.54

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:39.1

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-6.2%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-0.6%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:3.1%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:9.10

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-13.5

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:70.0%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)