No. 218· Horz

Detroit Mercy

Record 17-15Tempo 69.4Off 108.4Def 111.9

Adj. Efficiency Margin-3.48

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#218

-3.48

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#194

108.4

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#234

111.9

Adjusted Tempo

#127

69.4

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#255

42.9

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#299

48.6%

TOV%

#134

16.2%

ORB%

#110

32.5%

FTR

#265

31.7%

🔮 Crystal Ball

3 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

20% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 108.4, D: 111.9

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-3.5

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:53.1%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #194, Def: #234

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:35.1%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.29

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:42.9

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-3.1%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-1.6%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:1.7%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-8.10

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-9.8

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:78.9%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)