No. 64· A10

Dayton

Record 25-12Tempo 67.8Off 112.0Def 100.7

Adj. Efficiency Margin+11.37

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#64

11.37

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#119

112.0

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#29

100.7

Adjusted Tempo

#225

67.8

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#80

60.2

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#112

53.0%

TOV%

#184

16.8%

ORB%

#265

27.7%

FTR

47.9%

🔮 Crystal Ball

4 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

27% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 112.0, D: 100.7

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:11.4

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:67.6%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #119, Def: #29

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:33.9%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.93

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:60.2

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:3.0%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:4.5%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-0.3%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:11.69

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-0.7

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:75.4%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)