No. 110· A10

Davidson

Record 20-14Tempo 65.4Off 110.1Def 105.3

Adj. Efficiency Margin+4.81

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#110

4.81

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#157

110.1

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#91

105.3

Adjusted Tempo

#336

65.4

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#123

55.2

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#95

53.7%

TOV%

#142

16.3%

ORB%

#215

29.6%

FTR

#244

32.7%

🔮 Crystal Ball

3 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

20% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 110.1, D: 105.3

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:4.8

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:58.8%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #157, Def: #91

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:35.4%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.39

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:55.2

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:3.3%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:1.4%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:0.6%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:-4.09

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-5.6

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:63.9%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)