No. 87· MWC

Colorado St.

Record 21-13Tempo 64.0Off 117.6Def 109.6

Adj. Efficiency Margin+7.98

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#87

7.98

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#56

117.6

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#185

109.6

Adjusted Tempo

#361

64.0

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#97

57.4

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#13

58.2%

TOV%

#257

17.9%

ORB%

#181

30.7%

FTR

#55

39.8%

🔮 Crystal Ball

4 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

27% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 117.6, D: 109.6

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:8.0

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:61.8%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #56, Def: #185

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:38.6%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.65

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:57.4

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:6.2%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-2.0%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:2.1%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:6.89

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-3.4

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:77.0%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)