No. 233· Pat

Colgate

Record 18-15Tempo 69.0Off 109.4Def 114.4

Adj. Efficiency Margin-4.98

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#233

-4.98

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#172

109.4

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#290

114.4

Adjusted Tempo

#153

69.0

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#179

51.1

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#134

52.4%

TOV%

#118

15.9%

ORB%

#304

26.7%

FTR

#286

30.8%

🔮 Crystal Ball

2 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

13% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 109.4, D: 114.4

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-5.0

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:54.5%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #172, Def: #290

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:35.6%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.41

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:51.1

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:0.2%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-1.1%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-2.7%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-5.78

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-9.7

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:74.7%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)