No. 269· MAC

Central Michigan

Record 10-21Tempo 67.8Off 106.0Def 114.0

Adj. Efficiency Margin-8.05

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#269

-8.05

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#242

106.0

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#284

114.0

Adjusted Tempo

#228

67.8

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#296

38.1

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#178

51.4%

TOV%

#284

18.3%

ORB%

#227

29.1%

FTR

#266

31.6%

🔮 Crystal Ball

1 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

7% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 106.0, D: 114.0

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-8.0

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:32.3%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #242, Def: #284

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:33.9%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.67

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:38.1

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-2.4%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-1.4%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-5.8%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-7.30

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-15.4

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:69.7%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)