No. 304· NEC

Central Connecticut

Record 17-12Tempo 66.0Off 105.7Def 116.8

Adj. Efficiency Margin-11.16

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#304

-11.16

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#247

105.7

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#321

116.8

Adjusted Tempo

#319

66.0

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#209

48.7

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#210

50.7%

TOV%

#216

17.2%

ORB%

#292

27.2%

FTR

#313

29.9%

🔮 Crystal Ball

3 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

20% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 105.7, D: 116.8

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-11.2

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:58.6%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #247, Def: #321

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:35.8%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.92

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:48.7

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-1.8%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-3.9%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-4.4%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:-0.23

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-9.4

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:76.7%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)