No. 154· ASun

Central Arkansas

Record 22-12Tempo 69.9Off 109.8Def 108.4

Adj. Efficiency Margin+1.38

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#154

1.38

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#163

109.8

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#155

108.4

Adjusted Tempo

#105

69.9

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#108

56.5

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#163

51.7%

TOV%

#125

16.1%

ORB%

#266

27.7%

FTR

#297

30.4%

🔮 Crystal Ball

3 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

20% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 109.8, D: 108.4

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:1.4

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:64.7%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #163, Def: #155

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:35.5%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.11

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:56.5

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-2.5%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:3.3%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-0.9%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:-1.29

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-6.9

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:70.7%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)