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No. 194· BW
Cal St. Northridge
Record 20-14Tempo 74.2Off 108.2Def 109.9
Adj. Efficiency Margin-1.66
Core Metrics
Adjusted Efficiency Margin
#194-1.66
Adjusted Offensive Efficiency
#196108.2
Adjusted Defensive Efficiency
#192109.9
Adjusted Tempo
#374.2
Four Factor Performance
Four Factor Index (WZ100)
#164
52.2
Overall four-factor dominance score
eFG%
#18351.3%
TOV%
#21517.2%
ORB%
#10432.6%
FTR
#21134.1%
🔮 Crystal Ball
2 / 15
National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*
13% complete
*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.
Trapezoid of Excellence
FAIL
Value:Outside
Need:Inside trapezoid
Balanced Dominance
FAIL
Value:O: 108.2, D: 109.9
Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4
Title Favorite (AdjEM)
FAIL
Value:-1.7
Need:≥ 30.5
Win Percentage
FAIL
Value:58.8%
Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)
Elite Efficiency
FAIL
Value:Off: #196, Def: #192
Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45
3-Point %
FAIL
Value:32.4%
Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)
Elite AdjEM
FAIL
Value:Z: -0.14
Need:Z ≥ 1.76
AP Poll Week 6
N/A
Value:N/A
Need:≤ 12
Four Factor Index
FAIL
Value:52.2
Need:≥ 77.8
eFG Margin
FAIL
Value:-0.8%
Need:≥ 7.5%
Turnover Edge
FAIL
Value:-1.0%
Need:≥ 0.4%
Rebounding Edge
PASS
Value:4.8%
Need:≥ 1.5%
FTR Margin
PASS
Value:0.23
Need:≥ -4.28
WAB (Wins Above Bubble)
FAIL
Value:-8.4
Need:> 5
Free Throw %
FAIL
Value:66.8%
Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)