No. 195· BW

Cal St. Fullerton

Record 18-16Tempo 72.6Off 108.7Def 110.4

Adj. Efficiency Margin-1.74

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#195

-1.74

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#188

108.7

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#203

110.4

Adjusted Tempo

#12

72.6

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#195

49.6

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#170

51.6%

TOV%

#98

15.5%

ORB%

#328

25.6%

FTR

#129

37.0%

🔮 Crystal Ball

4 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

27% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 108.7, D: 110.4

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-1.7

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:52.9%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #188, Def: #203

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:34.2%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.15

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:49.6

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-2.2%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:3.1%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-3.2%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:1.96

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-9.9

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:71.6%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)