No. 337· BW

Cal St. Bakersfield

Record 8-24Tempo 70.7Off 101.5Def 117.7

Adj. Efficiency Margin-16.19

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#337

-16.19

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#321

101.5

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#332

117.7

Adjusted Tempo

#55

70.7

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#344

27.1

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#348

46.1%

TOV%

#301

18.6%

ORB%

#172

30.8%

FTR

#27

41.7%

🔮 Crystal Ball

2 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

13% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 101.5, D: 117.7

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-16.2

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:25.0%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #321, Def: #332

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

FAIL

Value:29.0%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -1.34

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:27.1

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-8.3%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-1.0%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-5.7%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:-0.59

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-18.5

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:73.8%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)