No. 228· BW

Cal Poly

Record 14-19Tempo 74.8Off 108.8Def 113.5

Adj. Efficiency Margin-4.67

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#228

-4.67

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#181

108.8

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#272

113.5

Adjusted Tempo

74.8

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#278

40.0

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#147

52.1%

TOV%

#337

19.5%

ORB%

#183

30.6%

FTR

#197

34.6%

🔮 Crystal Ball

3 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

20% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 108.8, D: 113.5

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-4.7

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:42.4%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #181, Def: #272

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:33.0%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.39

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:40.0

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-1.2%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-3.5%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-0.7%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:1.13

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-13.1

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:78.5%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)