No. 86· BE

Butler

Record 16-16Tempo 70.0Off 115.6Def 107.4

Adj. Efficiency Margin+8.14

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#86

8.14

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#76

115.6

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#133

107.4

Adjusted Tempo

#104

70.0

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#122

55.2

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#117

52.8%

TOV%

#78

15.2%

ORB%

#48

35.0%

FTR

#13

42.9%

🔮 Crystal Ball

5 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

33% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 115.6, D: 107.4

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:8.1

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:50.0%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #76, Def: #133

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:32.7%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.67

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:55.2

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:2.0%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:1.4%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:6.6%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:17.68

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-4.4

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:71.9%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)