No. 200· MAC

Buffalo

Record 17-15Tempo 67.6Off 113.2Def 115.3

Adj. Efficiency Margin-2.10

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#200

-2.10

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#99

113.2

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#303

115.3

Adjusted Tempo

#234

67.6

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#150

53.3

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#73

54.3%

TOV%

#146

16.4%

ORB%

#298

27.1%

FTR

#75

39.0%

🔮 Crystal Ball

4 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

27% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 113.2, D: 115.3

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-2.1

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:53.1%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #99, Def: #303

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:37.9%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.18

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:53.3

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-0.8%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:1.4%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-4.9%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:7.27

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-10.1

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:73.6%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)