No. 59· MWC

Boise St.

Record 20-12Tempo 68.5Off 117.2Def 105.0

Adj. Efficiency Margin+12.15

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#59

12.15

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#60

117.2

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#87

105.0

Adjusted Tempo

#186

68.5

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#112

55.9

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#102

53.3%

TOV%

#121

16.0%

ORB%

#59

34.5%

FTR

#22

41.9%

🔮 Crystal Ball

4 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

27% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 117.2, D: 105.0

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:12.1

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:62.5%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #60, Def: #87

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:34.3%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 1.00

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:55.9

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:2.1%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-0.6%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:11.9%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:11.26

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-1.0

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:78.7%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)